Trump Autocracy Tracker — Dashboard

Overall Threat Level
Critical
10.0
out of 10
Autocracy Index
10.0 / 10
Authoritarianism Index
10.0 / 10
Last Updated
2026-06-15 14:52 UTC

Markers of Autocracy (Structural / Institutional)

AC01
Consolidation of Executive Power
10
Evidence (3)
  • Administration challenged constitutional and democratic norms on ‘the scope of executive power and the authority of courts to check it’
  • Trump issued 217 executive orders in first 10 months, with 143 in first 100 days—7.2 times the historical average. Report describes orders as ‘unprecedented in scale’ and notes ‘they were never meant to replace Congress or stand in for the rule of law’
  • testing the legal system and reach of the executive branch through eliminating entire agencies and firing tens of thousands of workers
AC02
Undermining Judicial Independence
10
Evidence (3)
  • Gov. Wes Moore stated the administration has been ‘blatantly violating judicial orders, and directing personal attacks on individual judges’ and called the lawsuit against judges ‘a transparent effort to intimidate judges and usurp the power of the courts’
  • a Supreme Court finding ‘invisible ink’ in the Constitution to enhance the President’s powers
  • Trump claimed he is ‘the federal law’ and has expressed that not everyone his administration is trying to deport should get a trial, contradicting judicial oversight
AC03
Attacks on Free Press / Media Capture
10
Evidence (3)
  • Trump is targeting the free press and free speech. His administration has sought to prosecute or punish those who speak out (such as journalist Don Lemon
  • The White House can restrict Associated Press journalists’ access from covering the president at daily events, with the court ruling the White House ‘retains discretion to determine, including on the basis of viewpoint, which journalists will be admitted’
  • Trump is targeting the free press and free speech. His administration has sought to prosecute or punish those who speak out (such as journalist Don Lemon)
AC04
Politicization of Law Enforcement / Military
10
Evidence (3)
  • The toolkit explicitly prepares for fighting back against ICE raids under a Trump administration, indicating escalation of enforcement tactics and ‘militaristic approach to civil arrests’ with expectation that ‘ICE will resurrect some of its past problematic tactics’
  • The existence of an ‘anti-weaponization’ fund suggests systematic politicization of justice and law enforcement by framing legitimate oversight and prosecution as ‘weaponization’
  • Deployment of National Guard to California without state governor’s consent for immigration enforcement, first time since 1965. Activation of 700 Marine infantry battalion members to join National Guard with ‘little clarity about the rules of force governing this deployment’
AC05
Election Interference / Voter Suppression
10
Evidence (3)
  • His team has undermined vertical checks on the executive by weakening voting rights and the independence of election administration
  • References to ‘efforts to disrupt the peaceful transfer of power following the 2020 presidential election’ involving multiple attorneys working with Trump
  • Trump’s team has undermined vertical checks on the executive by weakening voting rights and the independence of election administration
AC06
Silencing Political Opposition
10
Evidence (3)
  • Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth ordered contracts with the American Federation of Government Employees be terminated in April – targeting union representation
  • Federal agents have repeatedly detained or arrested public officials conducting legitimate oversight, including Newark Mayor Ras Baraka, Congresswoman LaMonica McIver, and Senator Alex Padilla who was tackled and detained for asking questions
  • DOJ seeking names of hospital staff who have provided care – creating potential chilling effects on healthcare providers serving transgender youth
AC07
Purging Civil Service / Loyalty Tests
10
Evidence (3)
  • Department of Government Efficiency [DOGE] plans to eliminate 216,215 federal government positions in March alone, representing the largest federal workforce reduction since tracking began
  • State Department official Mari Stull was searching social media profiles and investigating current employees to see if they were ‘disloyal’ to the Trump administration, including assessing whether career State employees had supported Obama-era policies
  • High-level Trump administration officials expressed concern about employees who worked in the Obama administration and the ‘loyalty’ of other federal workers, with senior Trump officials discussing ways to purge former Obama career employees
AC08
Weakening Legislative Oversight
10
Evidence (3)
  • Instead of honoring the funding Congress already decided to set aside, the Trump administration has withheld or frozen billions of dollars from the states
  • executive orders were never meant to replace Congress or stand in for the rule of law. These unilateral directives…have forced states to defend constitutional boundaries
  • Trump filed a lawsuit to block the release of the records… opposing former President Donald Trump’s attempt to block the release of documents about the January 6 insurrection
AC09
Weaponizing Prosecution
10
Evidence (3)
  • FBI investigations being deployed against critics suggests selective enforcement and political motivation in law enforcement actions
  • Trump has repeatedly used the power of the federal government to retaliate against his political rivals through investigations and prosecutions
  • Trump’s failure to return Kilmar Abrego Garcia from El Salvador after deportation due to administrative error, and plans for ‘sending American citizens to foreign prisons’ with 97% of experts rating it as threat to democracy
AC10
Dismantling Regulatory Agencies
10
Evidence (3)
  • Several changes Trump is attempting to make would only be made possible by turning an independent bipartisan federal agency (Election Assistance Commission) into an arm of the executive branch
  • eliminating entire agencies… called for the elimination of the Consumer Financial Protection Board
  • DOGE actions have been attributed to 280,253 layoff plans of federal workers and contractors impacting 27 agencies

Markers of Authoritarianism (Rhetorical / Behavioral)

AU01
Dehumanizing Language Toward Out-Groups
10
Evidence (3)
  • Creating discriminatory refugee policy based on race and using ‘assimilation’ rhetoric that implies racial hierarchy in immigration worthiness
  • Use of arrest quotas for immigration enforcement, treating immigrants as targets to be processed through numerical goals rather than individuals with rights
  • Implementation of policies allowing federal agents to stop and question people about immigration status based only on their ethnicities or languages they speak, suggesting targeting based on racial/ethnic characteristics
AU02
Cult of Personality Promotion
10
Evidence (3)
  • ‘I am your retribution’ framing
  • MAGA movement centered entirely on personality
  • Demands that party members publicly pledge loyalty
AU03
Scapegoating / Enemy Creation
10
Evidence (3)
  • Systematic targeting of immigrants including those ‘who pose no threat to public safety’ and ‘contribute greatly to the economy and social fabric of their communities’, suggesting scapegoating beyond legitimate law enforcement
  • The White House site states ‘they do not belong here’ about undocumented immigrants, creating enemy narratives and othering specific groups
  • Official White House site declaring that undocumented immigrants ‘do not belong here’ creates enemy narrative targeting specific population
AU04
Demands for Personal Loyalty Over Institutional Loyalty
10
Evidence (3)
  • Network of ‘Trump-loyal think tanks’ creating replacement lists shows prioritization of personal loyalty to Trump over institutional expertise or merit
  • Creating Subservient Federal Workforce Loyal to Trump, Not Constitution
  • I do not believe that the leadership of the department can trust you to assist in implementing the president’s agenda faithfully – indicating firing based on personal loyalty to president rather than institutional duty
AU05
Delegitimizing Elections and Democratic Processes
10
Evidence (3)
  • In State of the Union address, Trump ‘reiterated lies about widespread voter fraud’ and continues raising concerns about federal interference in midterm elections
  • Trump’s repeated claims that the 2020 election and last week’s California primaries were ‘rigged’
  • Continued framing of January 6th participants as unfairly treated despite their violent actions against democratic institutions, with claims they were ‘politically targeted’
AU06
Promoting Violence or Threatening Force
10
Evidence (3)
  • Federal agents have ‘shot and killed two Minnesota citizens on the street’ and are ‘using physical force against civilians, including peaceful protestors, sometimes fatally’
  • Endorsed attacks on protesters, said ‘I would never kill them but I do hate them’ about reporters, promised to cover legal fees for beating protesters
  • Trump’s plan for ‘sending American citizens to foreign prisons’ represents unprecedented threats of extrajudicial detention
AU07
Conspiracy Theories as Governance Tools
10
Evidence (3)
  • The arson suspect targeted a room that housed Dominion voting equipment—a target of conspiracy theories in the election denial movement.
  • Ellis drafted memoranda that ‘relied on the demonstrably false premise that disputes existed among slates of presidential electors in six swing states’
  • This is the president using the executive branch to continue pushing lies and conspiracy theories and attacking those who challenge him.
AU08
Nationalist / Populist Demagoguery
10
Evidence (3)
  • ‘America First’ framing with exclusionary overtones
  • Anti-immigrant nationalism as central policy platform
  • Populist economic rhetoric contradicted by tax policies favoring wealthy
AU09
Rejection of Accountability / Rule of Law
10
Evidence (3)
  • Justice Department nominees dodged questions about ignoring court orders and ‘suggested there may be instances where they could do so.’ VP Vance claimed judges aren’t allowed to control executive power.
  • Walking out of interview when pressed on election fraud claims demonstrates avoidance of accountability and scrutiny
  • Mass pardoning without individual case review violates traditional clemency standards requiring remorse and atonement, described as unprecedented use of pardon power
AU10
Suppression of Dissent
10
Evidence (3)
  • The threat to invoke the Insurrection Act was made in response to ‘demonstrations protesting the deployment of 3,000 federal immigration enforcement personnel and the killing of an American citizen by a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agent,’ indicating use of military force to suppress protest and dissent.
  • Trump’s effort to suppress protests in Los Angeles over his immigration policies using the California National Guard
  • A federal judge said agents in Chicago were violating the constitutional rights of peaceful protesters and the media with their use of excessive force

Recent Analyses

  • 2026-06-15
    The January 6 Hearings: Georgia Spotlight  – States United Democracy Center
    This text documents systematic efforts to undermine Georgia’s 2020 election results through false claims, premature victory declarations, and pressure on election officials. The document shows a patte
    elevated AC05 AU05 AU07 AC06
  • 2026-06-15
    The efficiency equation: How DOGE is changing the citizen-state exchange – Thomson Reuters Institute
    The text describes DOGE as a Trump administration initiative operating under the Executive Office of the President with broad authority to restructure federal agencies. While framed in terms of effici
    elevated AC10 AC01
  • 2026-06-15
    Trump’s threat to American democracy | Harvard Kennedy School
    The text identifies concerning authoritarian patterns in Trump’s 2024 campaign rhetoric, particularly his exploitation of grievance politics and explicit promises of retribution against enemies. The a
    elevated AC01 AU03 AU06
  • 2026-06-15
    Threats to democracy and academic freedom after Trump’s second …
    This text documents a comprehensive assault on democratic institutions during Trump’s second presidency, showing coordinated attacks across executive power consolidation, judicial independence, press
    severe AC01 AC02 AC04 AC06
  • 2026-06-15
    AFGE | White House’s New Hiring, Firing Plans Aim at Creating Subservient Federal Workforce Loyal to Trump, Not Constitution
    This text describes a comprehensive effort to dismantle the merit-based civil service system and replace it with a loyalty-based spoils system. The administration is implementing essay requirements de
    severe AC07 AC07 AC07 AU04
  • 2026-06-15
    Trump and allies ramp up attacks on judges, courts as agenda hits legal roadblocks – ABC News
    This text demonstrates a significant escalation in attacks on judicial independence, with Trump, Musk, Vance, and press secretary Leavitt all participating in a coordinated effort to delegitimize cour
    high AC02 AC01 AC08 AU09
  • 2026-06-15
    A Green Light for Authoritarianism: How the Trump Administration …
    The text describes a comprehensive authoritarian assault on democratic institutions both domestically and internationally. The Trump administration is portrayed as systematically dismantling core demo
    severe AC07 AC06 AC03 AC10
  • 2026-06-15
    Read the transcript: Trump interviewed by NBC News’ ‘Meet the Press’ moderator Kristen Welker
    The provided text contains only the webpage header, navigation menu, and metadata from an NBC News ‘Meet the Press’ article page. No actual interview transcript content is present that could be analyz
    low
  • Mon, 15 Jun 2026 05:00:00 -0400
    Campaigns are embracing influencers, but internet stardom doesn’t always win votes
    The analyzed text is a neutral news headline and brief description about campaign strategies involving social media influencers. It contains no content related to Donald Trump’s presidency, authoritar
    low
  • 2026-06-15T08:56:43-04:00
    The French Theory That Explains the UFC Fight
    The provided text contains only a headline, publication information, and a brief subheading describing Trump staging a ‘spectacle of excess’ on the White House lawn that allegedly expresses ‘the viole
    low
Analyses are not current. The newest completed analysis is from 2026-06-15 (82 days ago); collection has been interrupted. Marker scores below reflect that date, not today.
Page rendered 2026-09-05 14:35 UTC.