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Analytical Framework — Rhetorical Analysis
Purpose
Apply structured rhetorical analysis to speech corpus to identify:
- Authoritarianism markers (in coordination with
patriot-speech-analyzerskill) - Enemy construction and out-group framing
- In-group identification and loyalty appeals
- Crisis-and-rescue narrative structures
- Anti-pluralist framing
- Charismatic-leader framing
- Truth-claim and factuality patterns
- Repetition, slogans, and key-phrase tracking
This framework is intended for use across both Trump’s primary corpus and comparative subjects (other speakers, historical baselines).
Authoritarianism Marker Taxonomy (Full)
This taxonomy aligns with the patriot-speech-analyzer skill and democratic-erosion academic literature (Levitsky-Ziblatt, V-Dem, Stanley, Albright):
A. Anti-pluralism
- A1. Denial of legitimacy of political opposition
- A2. Casting opponents as criminals, traitors, foreign agents
- A3. Casting elections as corrupt or rigged before/after results
- A4. Calls for prosecution of political opponents
B. Norm violation and erosion
- B1. Threats to ignore court orders or legal constraints
- B2. Denigration of judges by name
- B3. Threats against media organizations or specific journalists
- B4. Denigration of inspectors general, prosecutors, or oversight officials by name
- B5. Casting career civil servants as adversaries (“deep state”)
C. Enemy construction
- C1. Demonization of immigrants or specific national-origin groups
- C2. Demonization of religious groups
- C3. Demonization of racial or ethnic groups
- C4. Demonization of intellectuals, universities, or expertise generally
- C5. Demonization of cultural or political minorities
D. Charismatic-leader framing
- D1. Self-identification as the only solution / the only one who can fix it
- D2. Identification of personal grievances with national grievances
- D3. Personalization of policy (“my generals”, “my justices”)
- D4. Cult-of-personality cues (event format, audience response patterns)
E. Crisis framing
- E1. Existential-threat language (“destroying our country”)
- E2. Apocalyptic framing
- E3. Manufactured emergencies (declared crises without evidence)
- E4. War metaphors applied to domestic political situations
F. Calls to action and violence
- F1. Implicit incitement (ambiguous statements that could license violence)
- F2. Explicit incitement
- F3. Justification of violent acts (J6, etc.)
- F4. Threats against specific individuals
G. Truth degradation
- G1. Repeated factually-false claims
- G2. Conspiracy theories (specific verifiable false claims)
- G3. Attacks on the concept of objective truth (“fake news”)
- G4. Denial of well-established facts
H. Loyalty mechanisms
- H1. Explicit loyalty tests for officials
- H2. Threats against officials who break with leader
- H3. Praise for officials who demonstrate loyalty
- H4. Loyalty-by-proximity (proximity to leader = legitimacy)
I. Constitutional / institutional defiance
- I1. Threats against the Constitution itself
- I2. Threats against specific constitutional provisions (impeachment, 14th Amendment Section 3, etc.)
- I3. Calls to suspend or ignore parts of the Constitution
- I4. Praise for foreign authoritarian leaders’ methods
Coding Procedure
For each speech segment:
- Read in full before coding
- Identify candidate markers by reference to the taxonomy
- Score each marker:
- Severity: 1 (mild) to 5 (severe)
- Confidence: 0.0 to 1.0
- Evidence: Direct quote(s) from the segment
- Document context: Audience, event type, date, what came before/after
- Cross-coder verification: For published analysis, require at least 2 independent coders with inter-rater reliability check (Cohen’s kappa or similar)
Output Schema
For each speech, produce a structured analysis:
{
"speech_id": "...",
"speaker": "Donald J. Trump",
"date": "2025-XX-XX",
"event": "...",
"markers": [
{
"code": "A1",
"label": "Denial of legitimacy of political opposition",
"severity": 4,
"confidence": 0.9,
"evidence": "[direct quote]",
"context": "[surrounding context]"
}
],
"summary": "[brief summary of marker pattern]",
"comparative_baseline_notes": "[optional: comparison to baseline]"
}
Repetition and Slogan Tracking
Beyond the marker taxonomy, track:
- Recurring slogans (“Make America Great Again”, “Drain the Swamp”, “Witch Hunt”, “Fake News”, etc.) with frequency over time
- Recurring epithets (“Sleepy Joe”, “Crooked Hillary”, “Pocahontas”, etc.)
- Recurring conspiracy claims (specific false claims that repeat)
- Recurring metaphors (war metaphors, infestation metaphors, etc.)
- Phrase escalation patterns (how the rhetoric around a topic escalates over time)
Maintain a phrase-frequency table that allows queries like:
- “How many times has Trump used [phrase X] in 2025?”
- “When did [phrase Y] first appear?”
- “Which audiences receive [phrase Z]?”
Comparative Baselines
For all rhetorical-analysis work, maintain comparative baselines:
- Within-subject baseline: Trump 2015 vs 2025 — same speaker, different time
- Cohort baseline: Trump vs. Biden / Bush / Obama — same office, different speakers
- Movement baseline: Trump vs. other 2024 GOP primary candidates
- International baseline: Trump vs. Orbán / Erdoğan / Bolsonaro / Modi (other illiberal-leaning leaders)
- Historical baseline: Trump vs. Wallace / Long / Coughlin / 1930s authoritarian rhetoric
Comparative analysis avoids the trap of treating Trump rhetoric as uniquely characterizable; the field of comparison provides perspective.
Limitations
- Coding subjectivity: Marker identification involves judgment; different coders may differ on borderline cases
- Decontextualization risk: Single quotes may sound more or less severe in isolation; preserve context
- Audience variation: Same rhetoric may be more or less typical for the audience; account for audience norms
- Not a clinical or causal claim: Rhetorical analysis describes patterns; it does not diagnose intent or predict behavior
See Also
sc-overview.md- Analytical Framework — Linguistic Features
sc-framework-claim-tracking.md- Analytical Framework — Topics and Frames
- Patriot Skill:
patriot-speech-analyzer - Patriot KB: Democratic Collapse Scenario Planning and Survival Guide, Narcissstic Staff, Narcissistic President
